On Wikipedia we are trying to update the data on Mercury's distance from Earth since Mercury has a varying eccentric orbit. Last year I used Horizons to generate "Mercury Closest Approaches to Earth from 1950 to 2200" showing that currently Mercury does not come closer than 0.5489AU (82 million km):
http://home.comcast.net/~kpheider/Mercury.txt (see bottom section)
According to NASA Mercury never comes closer to Earth than 77.3 million:
http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/factsheet/mercuryfact.html (under Mercury Observational Parameters)
Under
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercury_(planet)#Observation (cut and paste link) someone using Solex 10 suggests, "In 871, the nearest approach was the first in about 41,000 years to be closer than 82.2 Gm, something that has happened 68 times since then, as of 2008. After much longer gaps, the next approach to within 82.1 Gm is in 2679, and to 82 Gm in 4487. But it will not be closer to Earth than 80 Gm until 28,622."
(Edited) Can GravSim generate a plot of the distance of Mercury from Earth over say a 50,000 year period?

This would hopefully help illustrate some concepts.
-- Kevin